First of LEDs need deep reflectors instead of bowl reflectors, because they have a flat light source instead of an arc or wire.
// unrelated \\ so In my opinion LEDs are not at hid level yet.
But we are getting close. I see much more promising increases of LED flashlight throw over the next few years than I do of flashlight lumens .
These 12,000 lumen single-battery flashlights are not ansi, and are only getting 10 seconds or so due to heat. But the Osram lights have close to the same intensity at the surface of a typical HID
Source intensity, mark my words is what you need for throw. And the source intensity must be greater on a flat emitter than a round emitter (HID is NO WHERE NEAR single-point elimination, it is simply a round source instead of 2 dimensional, even a short arc is more than 1 whole millimeter in diameter, which compared to theoretical single point light sources in science fiction, is millions of times less intense. ) the Osram research could make a usable LED theoretically much larger with even more surface intensity and adjusting phosphors that change when heated to increase thermal tolerance. With enough work and a scientific breakthrough they might get much closer to outperforming or at least running on higher settings for a longer time than current level lights.
Now IMHO, it is very critical to note three huge problems with HID Lights other than price. 1) the life time is limited. 2) they can be more fragile to shock and cold. 3) although they can run 30 minutes to an hour on high settings they are indeed very hot, untouchable lights during this time, and that's the other weakness; they have to. HID lights generally have to run super bright, and aren't capable of giving you more runtime. When just walking to the search ground my S&R team complains of not being able to see the ground with weak backup LED lights and not in-between illumination from trash LED lights to bomb HID spotlights and vehicle lighting (including drum helicopter spotlights).
The K75 for exa.ple is an awesome in between with many modes to choose from and for brief minutes can be nearly or equally bright as an HID.
Plug a fan into the K75, or use more advanced tech and we will have better throwers in the future, but for now you need excuses to use LED over HID.
Also, another note is the market questionablity. Lemax lights are by the definition of the term, not production lights. Neither is anything else that out throws the BLF GT90, or K75. Arguably the BLF GT90 is not yet truly production either and lacks a price high enough to stay on the market long enough.
Your light 1) must be on the market for at least 90% of the year without being sold out (underpriced)
2) must be open and available to the market (lemax are not available to anyone, you have to be on a sing up waiting list)
3) must be sold to anyone without restrictions.
This makes it production. The K75 is still the leader.