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idleprocess said:What's the sustainability of biodeisel? Could the industry gracefully shift to powering the nation's auto fleet in 10 years without huge infrastructure adjustments? I realize that biodiesel comes from all sorts of food/agricultural waste, but how much can actually be extracted from all this waste before the practical limit is reached? What about the greater cost of processing waste vs cracking crude?
I see hybrids, biodiesel, and other ICE efficiency improvements as an intermediate step until BEVs or these unrealisticly fantastic FCEVs become a reality and inherently increase the
whole energy efficiency of vehicles.
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Hmmm... /ubbthreads/images/graemlins/smile.gif Great question!
Starters:
There is enough discarded restaurant fryer oil every year to replace 5% of all of the diesel consumed in the U.S. We could build the processing plants and be at 5% in two years (we already have some plants and know how to do it, it is just the construction time).
If we adopt Plug-In Diesel/E85 electric hybrids, we can drop out about half the energy used for commuting right there just in the pure electric miles. Dropping out half really helps with that 10 year goal.
And...to make our country safer, we don't need to completely eliminate imported oil right away. Dropping oil imports from 60% (where it is now) down to say...10%?, is probably enough to take away the leverage power of the middle east.
So...we import 60% now.
Minus 50% from the Plug-In Hybrids.
Minus 5% from immediate biodiesel availability.
Gets us down to only 5% imported oil...probably in 10 years if we really try.
Although, oil is dwindling away (Shell Oil revised its stated reserves downward 7 times in the last year or so). We are using it at a faster pace than we are finding it, and demand (from India and especially China; +20% per year) is really on the rise. So...sooner or later we WILL have to get off of petroleum entirely.
The University of New Hampshire is developing technology to combine waste streams and CO2 with algae farming to produce enough biodiesel to get us off of oil completely. Plus there is
Thermal De-Polymerization (TDP) that will convert pretty much any kind of organic waste into very nice #1 diesel fuel.
Cellulosic ethanol contains 3 times the amount of net energy as ethanol from corn and uses a waste product (corn stover, stalks, straw, etc.) that is available without planting any increased acreage at all.
As far as the rest of the "infrastructure", liquid fuels like biodiesel won't require basically any change to the fueling infrastructure across the U.S. We'll need to tailor biodiesel blends for good winter performance (Europe already has made big strides in that direction).
As far as the "greater cost of processing waste vs cracking crude" goes, sooner or later we'll have no choice. If you've noticed, a barrel of petroleum is already going up...and no real reason to believe it will do anything but continue to go up. That doesn't even factor in the real costs of "wars on terror", homeland security, higher airline prices due to extra security, etc. that are the result of our insatiable thirst for petroleum...most of which needs to be imported, and much of that from unstable, repressive regimes.
We can do it. We can do it now. Darell's Rav4EV is proof of that and my VW Golf TDI on biodiesel is more proof of that. We don't really need to invent startling new technology, we just need the will to get on with it.
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idleprocess said:What's the sustainability of biodeisel? [renewable fuels]
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Actually pretty good I believe. It produces far more energy that it consumes to make it and in many ways solves some of our waste disposal problems; waste into energy sounds pretty good to me.