ArcLS-Premiums are Q-ranked, meaning it's near 28-30 lumens. No ArcLS, whether HD or LD or Premium or Standard, is below 23 lumens (on a P-ranked LS Standard)... I'd say if you had to put a number on it, a 25-26 lumens rating is the "average" of the entire Arc-LS variations... No one here, myself included, is going to "guarantee" you any lumens on an Arc-LS, simply because no one, maybe not even Peter G, can do it...
Having said that, there's no absolute average for any LS (or LS-based lights, for that matter). Luxeons Stars are just that way. They're unpredictable. The 1Ws are getting better, but it's still not perfect. So if you've gotten 2 lights, each light may vary as much as 1-10 lumens from one to the other...