In another
thread, I dealt with a friend's 21700 light. Or so I thought. Realizing later it was a light designed to take a 3x AAA carrier, that happens to be 65..70 mm long, and around 21 mm diameter. So light also takes 18650's with sleeve or a bit of leftover space on the side, 20700's and 21700's (dunno about protected versions of the latter though). On the cheap end, such 18650-or-3x-AAA lights are
very common. Have one myself that's built very similar.
The point: for any 3x AAA light that people find acceptable size wise, so will a 20700 or 21700 based light. And such lights are
already on the market in large numbers.
It's not a big difference. Whether that difference is too big or not, is a matter of taste and most people won't care. I don't consider 18650 lights 'pocketable' anyway.
But fine for car trunk / garage / backyard use etc. So I suspect uptake of 21700's (or 20700) will very much depend on availability / cost of the batteries as compared to 18650's. If price difference becomes small enough, surely the marketing folks will run with those extra mAh's... :tinfoil:
26650 batteries are lagging behind in performance relative to their weight and volume, but if the same technology goes into those, I think they have the potential to still be relevant in the future.
Looking into it recently, I was a bit surprised how small the capacity difference between (good) 21700 and 26650's are. Probably a case of optimisation / research money poured into the 21700 format.
As I understand it, for electric vehicles 21700's are preferred over bigger cells (for now) because of cooling issues. The bigger a cell gets, its volume vs. surface ratio increases and thus it has more difficulty shedding heat losses. I can imagine that as cells are improved (lower charge/discharge losses), attention may turn to bigger sizes like 26650, 32650, or some other new format. Also remember 26650 is roughly the same diameter as a C cell which people have used for ages.
It
IS nice that all these cells have roughly the same length. For example it shouldn't be hard to find a 26650 host, that also takes 21700, 20700, 18650, or even 3x AAA using a carrier (all with sleeve). Apart from using sleeves / carrier and bigger-than-strictly-necessary for those other formats, there's hardly any downside to that. :twothumbs
Btw: 18650's aren't going anywhere! Take for example a laptop pack: cells are always arranged 'flat', for example 2 rows of 3. Use 21700's instead of 18650's, and (all else staying the same) that battery pack becomes 3 mm thicker. 3 mm that designers either have to shave of the laptop's internals, or end up with a 3 mm thicker laptop. Likewise for power tools: go with bigger cells, and either you wind up with a bigger / heavier battery pack, or you have to use fewer cells, read: fewer in series, which translates into a lower total voltage, which has its own downsides. Not gonna happen. Both 18650 and 21700 have their own applications, and both are @ the focus of intense research so (up to a point) increased battery capacity will come automagically.