...The success of Tesla and its Nevada-based Gigafactory facility has generated a lot of excitement in the LIB industry. Panasonic's automobile battery sales are forecast to grow to $4 billion a year by March 2019, largely due to their partnership with Tesla.
"We think the existing technology can still extend the energy density of LIBs by 20% to 30%," Panasonic's President Kazuhiro Tsuga said. "But there is a trade-off between energy density and safety. So, if you look for even more density, you have to think about additional safety technology as well. Solid-state batteries are one [possible] answer." These safety concerns about LIBs are also pushing Panasonic to look at alternative battery power sources.
"For decades now we have been pushing the limits of our Li-ion batteries in terms of energy density," Naoaki Yabuuchi, an associate professor at Tokyo Denki University, acknowledged. "Today's best Li-ion cells can put out about 300 watts per kilogram; a package of Li-ion cells can give off from 150 watts to 250 watts per kilogram. These levels are already close to the theoretical maximum."
Yabuuchi is an expert on various types of rechargeable batteries. In his view, LIBs will reach the limit of their desirability as early as the first half of 2020 if their development continues to rely on existing technologies. But he has hope that new research can open up more capacity. "Existing LIBs still have room to improve their energy density because you can raise the density by introducing a nickel-based cathode material, so you can expect the batteries will still be used in the next few years."
