I just noticed this thread. I modeled your configuration, but I since I don't have an AC P-VIP lamp luminance profile, I averaged the results of the DC lamp I profiled with anode in and then anode out, and I'm coming up with 63.5 MCP using a reflector with 90% reflectance, a lens with 90% light transmission, and estimating lamp lumen output at 18200 (70 L/W @ 260W). A forward-facing retro-reflector bumps it up to 86.5 MCP. Modeled at 2000 ft distance.
For reference, I also modeled the Maxablaster and came up with 45 MCP, again without considering it's luminance concentration toward the cathode since it's a DC lamp, which I estimate provides about a 25% boost, so somewhere around 56 MCP for the Maxablaster. I'm not sure what the Maxablaster's measured CP was, but it should be fairly close. For the Maxablaster, I entered: .5mm x .5mm gap, 3500 Lumen, 9.5" CA, 1.5" V.Dia, 1.3" FL, 70% Reflectance, 90% lens light transmission.
I included the retro-reflector in your configuration since you asked about one recently, but even without a retro-reflector, this should marginally exceed the MaxaBlaster in CP, and five fold in lumen output. Pretty sure you will be quite happy. The only thing I'm not sure of is the actual reflectance of your reflector coating and the actual lumen output of the lamp.