Re: wow gold6
I think one of the greatest engineering challenges in recent years has been how to shorten the life of an LED emitter. Normally, they are expected to last for decades, but as a business model, longevity is a money-loser for a manufacturer. At the outset of a new technology, the high price and steady adoption-rate can provide a healthy revenue-stream, but as competition cuts in, and the consumer saturation-point comes nearer, those revenue-streams begin to dry up.
When the incandescent light-bulb was introduced by Thomas Edison, the vacuum-tube design was nearly fool-proof. Nearly everyone has heard of the electric light bulb that has been burning in a California firehouse for over a century, and in fact, the same technology used in radio vacuum tubes means that quite often those tubes are still working perfectly after 80-90 years. However, over the ensuing decades, the longevity of incandescent bulbs has decreased over the years. Fluorescent-tube technology is nearly as old, and these as well, have seen their longevity decrease substantially as well. I'm not sure exactly how this planned-obsolescence was achieved, but I suspect it has something to do with allowing the slow infusion of oxygen through the base of the bulb.
Since LED lighting is a robust solid-state technology, I suspect the weak-points will have to be engineered in the driver circuitry, which in itself is quite robust. Possible weak-points are electrolytic capacitors and thermal heat dissipation. If the capacitors are allowed to degrade, and/or the temperature of the circuit is high, it may lead to earlier failure. i suspect it won't be long before we see LED lighting with a service-life similar to that of incandescent or CFL bulbs.