jtr1962
Flashaholic
The 4 watt number is based on the maximum temperature rise of a heat sink the size of a small A19 bulb needed to keep LED junction temperatures safe.Where/How did you come up with this assumption/conclusion?
No, you need to convert the AC to DC first, and that process is less than 100% efficient, so you need to account for that. Also, the LED drive current is irrelevant here. The only number we're interested in as far as the LED goes is the wall-plug efficiency at whatever current it is being driven at. This is the percentage of input power which comes out as light energy. The rest of the input power ends up as waste heat.The property of 1-die high power LED is typically 2.8-3.2V by default. The input power should equal to (number of LEDs)*(drive current)*(voltage of 1-LED).
Yes, you can increase the number of LEDs, drive them at lower currents, and get increased efficiency along with increased lifetime. The problem is it wasn't as economically viable to do this at the time this thread was started because emitters cost more.Let's calculate reverse to look at the LED driving condition and conclude again.
Lamp power * ballast efficiency = total LED power (8 * 0.85 = 6.8W)
Total LED power / number of LEDs / voltage of 1-LED = drive current (6.8 / assume 3 LEDs / 3V) = 756mA
If Osram increased the number of LEDs, they can lower the driving current to get lower LED junction temperature.
If the lamp only has 3 LEDs then it's probably too hot to last 25k hrs; but if they increase to 6 LEDs (halved drive current) then there is chance the LEDs can last 25k hrs.
As far as figuring out the waste heat here, a good rule of thumb is to use (input power - output lumens/300). The emitted efficacy of a typical LED spectrum is roughly 300 lumens per watt. Let's say this lamp puts out 500 lumens. That means 500/300 = 1.67 watts comes out as light. The rest is waste heat. If 8 watts goes in, then that means 8 - 1.67 = 6.33 watts is waste heat. This is obviously too much for such a small sized heat sink to handle, so LED junction temperatures will be too high. That's why the lifetime is only 25K hours instead of 70K to 100K hours.
LED bulb cost has fallen since this thread was started, but lifetime is much lower than it could be due to the thermal issues. As I said back in 2010, the thermal issue will continue to be a problem until LEDs hit efficacies of roughly 200 lm/W or more.