Regulation or no regulation?
@ 4 hours to flat.
You can get a rough approximation using the expected capacity of the battery (10,000mAh) and the expected draw of the emitter at 3.6V (say 2800mA for a DSVOJ bin). 10,000mAh / 2800mA = 3.57h.
But as Alan elaborated on, the difference between a rough approximation and reality is very complicated, and would probably take you longer to figure out than just turning the light on and timing it.