Re: With Luxeon Star LEDs out, do incans still fit
In order to change the general public's perception of LEDs and their usefulness in general lighting, you may have to start with companies like Phillips, GE, or Sylvannia or your bulb replacement companies. Things like new homes being built can be made with LEDs in lighting. Or new cars can have them more integrated. Or cities looking to replace their lighting infrastructures can start with an LED based system (like signal lights, street lighting, ball park lighting, light changes in public transportations like buses and trains, etc)... It might warrant something much more powerful than 5W Luxeon Stars, and it may take a few years, but it's a start. Obviously, you'll have some applications where even LEDs won't provide enough lighting, and that may be something that can be left to HIDs...
As far as flashlights go, as much quality as SureFire is and can dish out, they will not be the company to break heads into the mass market arena in terms of changing the mass's perception on LEDs. Streamlight is the leader in this area, only because they have the marketing clout, AND the desire, to put the LS products out in sheer quantities that will warrant large contractual purchases and such (read: sticking it on walls at Wal-Mart)... And as Mag falls behind in the technolgy department in LEDs (as well as the time department, in regards to releasing an LED based light), it'll probably take a few more years.
I felt awhile ago, that if LEDs are really going to challenge incandescents in the general lighting market, NOT just flashlights, they need to be significantly redesigned. By that, I mean an LS needs to be made where its projected light's not just on a flat surface under a dome, but perhaps through its sides... I thought something like a Side Emitter would've been excellent for a direct light bulb replacement because light from the LS can be directed to all angles. Maybe that design can be improved upon, rather than a beam that's directed at a specific angle, which may only be useful in flashlights, not any general lighting.
Maybe the 5W LSs are the entrance to the revolution of lighting in general, but I feel confident the 10Wers and up are going to be the real difference makers... Maybe once you have lumens from an LS above 1000, you'll start to see more people and places switch to LEDs for light.