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PhotonBoy said:
'Sandia has authored or co-authored a number of white papers and general articles which explore the technical challenges associated with solid-state lighting, and the potential impact of solid-state lighting on energy consumption.
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I'm sure that we're talking truly objective Science here. I mean Sandia itself isn't interested in getting is snout (back) into the public trough, right?
I mean, look, before 1995 LEDs were getting *no light* per watt! I wonder what we thought we were looking at?
I note that without immediate bucks the rapid advances will decline and top out far short of conventional fluorescent lighting (probably real) on schedule. If, OTHO, Bush will only give me half the billions at stake I'll gladly show him a graph of how I'll deliver even more in 25 years.......
So I'm tainted I guess (hey, I work in Materials Sciences, in fact with a guy working with Lumileds on this very topic). We can expect higher energy LEDs (like today's blue and green) to approach the numbers we get from older designs (now optimised), a few fold increase at best. Far, far short of what those seeking funds would claim. There are very real limits on how many photons one gets per watt within a perfect crystal and how many of those one can expect to get out without getting a ticket from the Physics Cops.
Doug Owen