If power LED flashlights with XP-G S2, XM-L U2 and similar were commonplace and to be found at any store around the corner --and why wouldnt this be the case in distant future??-- then the mass consumer would regard them as exciting as toilet plungers, nothing special. In reality Cree lights are still special and not known among the large public. So if i walk along with your Ti D25A loaded with a Trustfire 14500, then i damn feel special as well.
If everybody I met knew Eagletac company and their D25 series (from a friend, colleague, neighbor, commercials or personal ownership), i would sell off my expensive lights, buy a handful of Sipik or Fenix clones and Eneloops and leave the hobby for good.
Once Walmart, Safeway and similar large stores are flooded with cheap XXXFire China-made flashlights (see DX.com), not only SF or Maglite will struggle but also other companies (4sevens, olight, eagletac, fenix, zebralight) because new potential flashlight buyers jump on the XXXFire wagon and laugh about us flashaholics who used to pay 50$+ for Sunawayman, Klarus and armytek.
Same with LCD LED monitors Full HD large screen display TV's. You could feel special and wow whomever if you were owner of such (back then!) expensive TV's. Nowadays they are sold anywhere and everywhere, Samsung is #1 and commonplace, and wtf cares if your 3-year old TV was double as expensive as my 1-year old Samsung and made by an exotic high-end little Taiwanese manufacturer? In future people will chuckle in disdain or ridicule about the prices we paid today. And i will be one of them, making fun about you, us, myself when we were flashaholics, now, in the early 2010's. I've entered this "hobby" in 2011 and it seems to me that we are in the booming years. Pretty much in the middle of the development, my luck of best timing to invest some bucks! So i bought the T20C2 MkII with its replaceable LED drop-in modules which gives me the feeling that i could update it to the current state of technology whenever i wanted to in future .. granted that the company has not run out of business by then. I dont believe that Eagtac will run out of business in the next 10 years, good. But what about the many other companies? EDC+ (formerly TacticalHID) seems to have stopped stocking Lumintop lights. Bad for Lumintop! Well, quite a few companies we never heard of will (soon) run out of business because of the tough competition and the little market among flashaholics. Fenix, Balder run out of ideas and ask us in questionnaires what we flashies could be interested in buying, totally new light designs. Yeah, they must be really struggling in keeping the sales numbers up! I dont expect quantum leaps in lumens in the next 2 years. The market of flashaholics isnt saturated yet but we're getting there at some point. Of course i hope for the 10 or 20 notable Chinese 'premium' flashlight manufacturers to gain ground before the XXXFire and XXXFire clones do. The cheapo lights are catching up fast and some US dealers like Shiningbeam have already begun to sell them.
Yep, in a couple of years, our 4sevens and sunawayman's lights will be relict of the early 2010's (2010, 11, 12, 13, ..) and obsolete in the sense that everyone else could buy a competitive 500 lumens cheapo light from a local store and if you tried to resell your used premium light in a local newspaper classified ad .. no chance! Yes, power LED flashlights are an exciting hobby now, these days, and manufacturers are young (eagletac and 4sevens are ~4years old, Fenix being the oldest noteworthy with 6years of market presence). Soon enough we'll see a consolidation on the market (byebye Rofis, Lumapower, Skilhunt and Bronte), a decrease in prices, and lots of former flashaholics moving on and dropping this hobby. I dropped hobbies myself! I used to buy and collect movies, DVD's and watch and enjoy them. It was exciting and an emerging market. Since then i moved on, my huge collection of movies is stuffed into boxes along with my personal library of books, and whenever i want to watch something specific i would find it in a sec with google, netflix, hulu, and i wouldnt even have to ask a friend for help. If i want to sell my DVD's .. ooooh, difficult! Nobody wants to buy them at reasonable prices from me because either they have the Blueray disc already or they arent interested because of other reasons (google, netflix, hulu, ..).
Look at SF how many former customers have abandoned their expensive products. SF sues the American competition, how nice!, but cant fight the Chinese competition. An ever growing market share goes to Chinese mega etailers and this will not stop, it's the law of economy and called economic evolution and market development. SF is the prime example of how customers jump ship, change sides and become member on budget flashlight forums. When newbies there look for lights, nobody recommends SF nor Maglite. Not even Fenix or Eagletac. Newbies take their XXXFire recommendations, order the stuff from Chinese ebay sellers, part with the flashlight forums, and move on.
I am willing to drop this (now exciting) "hobby" anytime .. as soon as power LED flashlights become commonplace among the public, be it in ownership or mere awareness. At that point i will look back at this forum and begin to chuckle.. And by that time i will have made sure to have sold all my expensive lights (4sevens, eagletac, fenix, klarus, etc.) before it's too late to get rid of them. I have boxes full of books and movies in our basement. I dont need another box in the basement, this time full of power LED flashlights which dont get use for various reasons, including "obsoletion" because of arguable performance/efficiency competitiveness.
To me, flashlights are EDC tools and this forum a personal phase in my young life. Neither of them a hobby.
I suck?? **, *** ****!
