jashhash
Enlightened
What many people aren't aware of is the politics surrounding LED street lighting. Right now every LED manufacturer is fighting for a market share of what could be the biggest source of revenue. American LED manufacturers are fighting hard with each other and the ominous inevitability that luminaire manufacturers will eventually turn to China for a fairly priced LED. The truth is that there are so many people still so amazed by what high power LED's can do and this novel amazement blinds them from the fact that they are simply paying too much.
In any semiconductor industry prices plummet with the advance of new technology. Take a computer for example which costing initially $1,000 falls to $250 in the course of 4 years. Now it seems to me that LED's should be following a similar trend, and those who have spent money in R&D should have already recouped their losses. Yet somehow year after year I'm amazed at how LED's continue to sell at a similar price. Maybe I'm crazy but It seems reasonable to me that the R2 bin LED's which are currently being sold to us at $5.00 a piece should only be costing us no more than $1.50. In large quantities it seems reasonable to me that a 100 watt LED board should sell for $50.00 not $400.00
So how does Cree, Osram, and Philips plan to compete with the threat of high quality Chinese LED's? US based LED companies push new legislature like this years LM-80 standard. This standard requires that a LED manufacturer must provide a reliability report that shows lumen depreciation over around 9,000 hours of operation. While this sounds like a great idea, this new standard effectively eliminates all Chinese LED's since it would take them over a year to run LED's to 9,000 hours. If the LM-80 standard is adopted as a requirement for receiving an energy star rating, we will continue to be forced to pay CREE, Philips, or Osram for their products at a ridiculous price.
Just my 2 cents but maybe im just a ranting lunatic. *puts on his foil hat
In any semiconductor industry prices plummet with the advance of new technology. Take a computer for example which costing initially $1,000 falls to $250 in the course of 4 years. Now it seems to me that LED's should be following a similar trend, and those who have spent money in R&D should have already recouped their losses. Yet somehow year after year I'm amazed at how LED's continue to sell at a similar price. Maybe I'm crazy but It seems reasonable to me that the R2 bin LED's which are currently being sold to us at $5.00 a piece should only be costing us no more than $1.50. In large quantities it seems reasonable to me that a 100 watt LED board should sell for $50.00 not $400.00
So how does Cree, Osram, and Philips plan to compete with the threat of high quality Chinese LED's? US based LED companies push new legislature like this years LM-80 standard. This standard requires that a LED manufacturer must provide a reliability report that shows lumen depreciation over around 9,000 hours of operation. While this sounds like a great idea, this new standard effectively eliminates all Chinese LED's since it would take them over a year to run LED's to 9,000 hours. If the LM-80 standard is adopted as a requirement for receiving an energy star rating, we will continue to be forced to pay CREE, Philips, or Osram for their products at a ridiculous price.
Just my 2 cents but maybe im just a ranting lunatic. *puts on his foil hat
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