[ QUOTE ]
turbodog said:
I person in decent shape can output about 175 watts or so on a bike for an hour or more.
I consider myself a "sport" class racer and have measured output of 325 watts or so for 8+ hours at a stretch.
Lance would likely hit 50% above that level.
[/ QUOTE ]
All of that is quite true based on my personal experiences-I'm 41 and consider myself a strong amateur rider. I've never raced so I have no idea where I would be compared to professionals. As of late (the last year or two) I'll admit to getting somewhat out of shape thanks to long periods of bad weather (ice, snow, heat) where I couldn't ride, but I can get back to my peak with a few months of consistent riding.
I've never measured my output on one of those fancy machines but I usually ride in the 20 to 25 mph range, and I don't go into any kind of aerodynamic position because it's hurts my back for any length of time. Based on my coast-down rates and the combined mass of myself and my bicycle it takes roughly 8 lbs of force to maintain 22 mph in the position I usually ride in. This equates to 0.47 HP, or about 350 watts. When I'm feeling good and riding regularly I can more or less ride in the low 20s for at least an hour. Of course, I never average that on a ride thanks to stoplights and other obstacles. Accounting for all that, I might average 19 mph on a very good ride, and 14 or 15 on an average one. Anyway, this more or less confirms that someone in decent shape can put out far more than the 0.1 HP mentioned earlier in this thread.
As for peak power, I've accelerated from a dead stop to 30 mph in 11 seconds. Kinetic energy at 30 mph for a mass of 95 kg (myself + my bike) is 8540 joules. Thus, I'm peaking at 8540/11 or 777 watts, not even accounting for wind drag. Accounting for that, I'd put my peak at closer to 1000 to 1100 watts. BTW, I do go into a more aero position for these acceleration tests. If not, I'd be using on the order of 750 watts or more just overcoming the resistance at 30 mph.
The only thing I take issue with is the part about Lance (or anyone else) being able to output 50% more than you do. Most of the top professional riders seem to be able to maintain 31 or 32 mph for 1 hour. They also have much better aerodynamics than the average person can afford, including bike, helmets, and clothing fine tuned for their exact size, shape, and riding style. Because of that, I'd say we're probably looking at closer to 400 watts to maintain the speeds they do. Not a whole lot of difference between you, turbodog, and Lance in terms of power output, but then again often races are won by margins of seconds. A difference in output of only 10 watts could easily mean those few seconds. A difference of 50 watts would mean you're blown out of the water, at least in terms of professional racing.
Probably no difference at all in terms of peak power between you, I, or Lance. The only difference might be that he could maintain it longer than you, or especially I, could.