Posts #2 and #11 covered the difference in throw -- surface brightness.
A typical modern ~200 lumen D26 LED lamp assembly has a narrower beam profile than any incandecent D26 lamp in the same ballpark of output. Assuming both reflectors are textured about the same here. (I have plenty of examples to prove it)
The tighter beam profile doesn't necessarily mean that it throws better in actual use, because the profile of the beam is mostly just a representation of the ratio of the size of the source of light to compared to the size of the reflector. The radiation pattern of the light source comes into play and determines how much of the emitted light becomes a part of that central beam compared to how much of it gets dumped as spill light.
I hold firm on the position that the effectiveness of incans at throwing when compared to similar output LEDs in similar size reflectors is PRIMARILY related to the difference in radiation pattern of the 2 light sources and how that effects their interactions with a reflector.
Does CRI effect throw?
CRI effects perception. It does not effect measurable throw. In actual use, Most are happy to trade upwards of 20-50% of measurable lumens and thow in exchange for better CRI.
Does CCT effect throw?
Only when dealing with atmospheric light obstructing blockages
[maybe?]. (fog/dust/smoke). Also, there will be differences in how people perceive and interpret the different CCT, but that does not change the actual measurable throw.
[edit in: See post #21 below, this may be totally incorrect]
Does Surface Brightness effect throw? Yes, it's a huge component, but the assumption that incans have a higher surface brightness than modern LEDs may be incorrect.
1mm^2 LED die produces 200-400 lumens with modern bins.
The surface area found on a filament that can compete with this (similar output when driven hard) is about 4-5mm^2
The surface brightness of LEDs surpassed incandescent bulbs several years ago from what this article seems to be suggesting.
However: The LED being a "plane" and the filament being a "cylinder" creates complications for comparing the 2. While the actual flux of the emitting side of the LED may be higher than a measurement of the flux of the filament, the density can not be compared just based on surface area, especially when dealing with how it's going to interact with a reflector. I'm guess that the best way to compare their "density" is to draw the longest line through the light source possible. This would be diagonally across the LED, and maybe down the length of the cylinder that is the filament in a diagonal fasion. The resulting figures will probably far more accurately define their effectiveness as an attempt at being point source.
In the comparison of surface area made above, the same bulb would measure about 2mm, and the LED would measure 1.4mm. That's still fairly dramatic, and means that the LED is packing more light emissions into a smaller space.
Eric