"Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable — the art of the next best"
― Otto von Bismarck
For me, the last 18 months convinced me that there's a
stubbornness in large swaths of the American public. No matter how overwhelming the evidence, how convincing the rhetoric, how emotional the appeal, how persuasive the incentives, how unpleasant the disincentives there is going to be a slice that responds with
I ain't gonna.
With the leading quote in mind, I'm not sure that there's enough
constituency to push a vaccine mandate. Employers might require them. Some establishments might have the pull to demand their patrons be vaccinated. But attempting to channel the unvaccinated into a situation that walks and quacks like a vaccine mandate without actually
legally being one seems like it's just going to harden resistance all around.
And truly, I mean it when I say
all around. The populace will resist. Local government - surely possessing a better sense of the pulse of locals than anyone else - will resist. And state government will resist. The facts be d_mned - the
Overton Window is where it is.
It's unfortunate that an otherwise simple public health issue has been caught up in our highly polarized social/political environment but it has and there's no unringing that bell.
If it happens before flu season, I suspect that the FDA fully approving vaccines
without being hurried will be the next thing that moves the needle in regards to improving vaccine uptake. Otherwise it seems like the die has been cast and we're going to move into flu season in a posture similar to where we're at now.