Yeah, I live in an urban area too close to main travel routes and local commerce. My delivery of REI hiking boots notified me by email and when I got home 3 hours later, an empty box was on the walk. We have an online police report for minor crimes and major retailers will just replace the theft with a police report number.
I'm told the street people see a delivery truck and see right away there's a package for the taking. I now have everything sent to the office unless I know I'll be home. Sometimes, I'm not sure which shipper a vendor will use. The US postal service tends to deliver small stuff, and they seem to park someplace and walk around with mail and deliveries.
I also see empty, opened boxes hidden behind parked cars, with packing material tossed around; I imagine they are thefts, opened.