I read the Bridgelux datasheet, as I am not good with maths/physics, my eye catched the rule of thumb mentioning 10 square inch surface area for each Watt to dissapate.
For comparison some calculations for (fanless ) heatsink pictured below:
I have calculated the surface.
The 90dia x 30mm (3.5 x 1.18inch)
93.600mm2 or 145 sq inch, say 14.5 Watt
The 90dia x 75mm (3.5 x 2.9inch)
272.700mm2 or 423 sq inch, say 42 Watt.
(But due to depth probably less efficient.)
But thats only the rule of thumb...!
Wiki has a list of CPU's and their specific heat dissapation, that give some hint where to look. With a fan, is much more efficient cooling then without (passive).